Complex Event Analysis - Report 2020/03/20

No momentum supporting factor found

(asset, markets)

(growth, markets)

(intertwined, markets)

(asset, markets)

(markets, world_war)

(markets, velocity)

(markets, technology-enabled)

(markets, service)

(markets, present-valued)

(markets, policy)

(markets, monies)

(markets, medical)

Time Period	Challenge	Momentum	WIP
Report 2020/03/20	14.29	0.00	85.72

of the financial system via central bank action and to backstop credit via state guarantees and (iii) confidence that asset prices properly discount the impairment to earnings (equities), to financial disintermediation (credit spreads) and to growth (yield curves).
Panic of the kind we are witnessing now comes from uncertainty and fear that the bouncing ball.s motion may slow, or even stop
High Level Abstractions:

of the financial system via central bank action and to backstop credit via state guarantees and (iii) confidence that asset prices properly discount the impairment to earnings (equities), to financial disintermediation (credit spreads) and to growth (yield curves).
Panic of the kind we are witnessing now comes from uncertainty and fear that the bouncing ball.s motion may slow, or even stop. And since modern, technology-enabled financial markets are so intertwined, actions at any distance immediately affect the actions of others, and panic can spread at lightspeed
High Level Abstractions:

Such guarantees could potentially undermine the government bond markets.
Second, markets are so intertwined that any freeze would have to apply to all major markets around the world, in all major asset classes, and in derivatives and private markets as well, which would be impossible to enforce
High Level Abstractions:

And the markets have closed before in times of great uncertainty and panic, such as after 9/11, or during World War I when the New York Stock Exchange was closed for four months.
Yet there are at least three reasons why .suspending market motion
High Level Abstractions:

At each bounce, a good or service is exchanged and resulting monies (energy) move in a slightly different direction. All financial markets are basically built on predicting direction of motion and rates of velocity, present-valued to discount future interactions as well.
Today, financial market participants are mostly blind to the true trajectory of Covid-19 and will remain so until there is (i) an effective containment of the pandemic in the major economies, (ii) belief that governments are undertaking sufficient steps to spur demand via fiscal policy, to underpin the .plumbing
High Level Abstractions:

All financial markets are basically built on predicting direction of motion and rates of velocity, present-valued to discount future interactions as well.
Today, financial market participants are mostly blind to the true trajectory of Covid-19 and will remain so until there is (i) an effective containment of the pandemic in the major economies, (ii) belief that governments are undertaking sufficient steps to spur demand via fiscal policy, to underpin the .plumbing
High Level Abstractions:

All financial markets are basically built on predicting direction of motion and rates of velocity, present-valued to discount future interactions as well.
Today, financial market participants are mostly blind to the true trajectory of Covid-19 and will remain so until there is (i) an effective containment of the pandemic in the major economies, (ii) belief that governments are undertaking sufficient steps to spur demand via fiscal policy, to underpin the .plumbing.
High Level Abstractions:

Certain goods and services would have to continue trading to assure critical food and medical supplies, which would result in uneven rules being applied. Black markets would increase, leading to additional fraud and crime.
And third, and most problematic, the unintended consequences would almost invariably cause a cascade of black swan events that would likely be worse than the .cure
High Level Abstractions:

Target rule match count: 11.0 Challenge: 0.07 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.43